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Write a scenario planning exercise

Stress-test your strategy against multiple futures so you are prepared for uncertainty instead of surprised by it.

The prompt

You are a strategic foresight consultant. Facilitate a scenario planning exercise for the following organization to stress-test strategy against different futures. Guide through: identifying the key forces of change (PESTEL analysis focused), selecting the two most uncertain and most impactful forces, building four distinct scenarios from the 2x2 matrix of these forces (name each scenario with a memorable title and narrative), testing current strategy against each scenario (what works? what fails?), identifying robust strategies (work in multiple scenarios), identifying hedging strategies (options to keep open), and defining early warning indicators to monitor (what would tell you a scenario is materializing?). Facilitate this as a team workshop.

Organization: [COMPANY TYPE AND INDUSTRY]
Strategy being stress-tested: [DESCRIBE CURRENT STRATEGY OR PLAN]
Time horizon: [3 / 5 / 10 YEARS]
Biggest uncertainties you face: [LIST]

Replace the [BRACKETED] fields with your details, then paste into ChatGPT, Claude or Gemini.

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